Problem packetResearch packetR455
The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open
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The record cites sources for its explanation.
Recorded status: supported
Recorded scope: the supremum over all pairs of Borel measurable strategies in the stated two-player fair-bit game
Complete recorded scope and conditions
{
"kind": "universal",
"statement": "the supremum over all pairs of Borel measurable strategies in the stated two-player fair-bit game"
}Originating problem: The value of Levine's two-player coin-index game
Authored record and scope
- Authored title
- The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open
- Record type
- claim
- Stored status
- supported
- Evidence grade
- sourced
- Recorded scope data
- { "kind": "universal", "statement": "the supremum over all pairs of Borel measurable strategies in the stated two-player fair-bit game" }
2Authored explanation
For the Borel-strategy value \(p^*\) in the canonical statement, the checked literature gives \[ \frac{7}{20}\le p^*\le\frac{81}{224}=0.361607142857\ldots. \] The lower endpoint is attained by recursive block strategies. Buhler and coauthors derive the upper endpoint using a balanced \(8\times14\) hint matrix and an exhaustive optimization over column partitions. An independent exact replay prepared for this packet enumerates all \(B_{14}=190{,}899{,}322\) column partitions, obtains maximum \(81/224\), and recovers the reported count of 3,920 attaining partitions. Bouquet and coauthors, in arXiv:2508.01737v2 dated 2026-04-19, still state \(p^*=7/20\) as Conjecture 1. Heilman and Tamuz also identify \(81/224\) as the best known upper bound; their analytic bound \(0.37193\) is weaker.
The exact open remainder is to prove \(p^*\le7/20\), or to construct Borel strategies with winning probability greater than \(7/20\). The older interval ending at \(3/8\) is valid but no longer strongest.
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Replay material: source only
3Evidence
A verification source is cited. This record has no executable replay attached.
Verification source: arxiv.org ↗, Bouquet et al., Sections 1.1-1.3 and Conjecture 1, checked 2026-07-28
4What was measured
5How it connects
Supported by
- claim
- claim
- attempt
Informed by
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- claim
Evidenced by
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- artifact
Replaced by
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Recorded for
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Cite the original sources separately.
Machine-readable record
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"title": "The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open",
"summary": "As of 2026-07-28, the strongest checked bounds are \\(7/20\\le p^*\\le81/224\\); the exact value of \\(p^*\\) remains unknown.",
"relevance": "For The value of Levine's two-player coin-index game, record levine-claim-current-interval-2026-07 (“The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open”) records a bound, answer, status fact, or structural consequence. The record states: As of 2026-07-28, the strongest checked bounds are \\(7/20\\le p^*\\le81/224\\); the exact value of \\(p^*\\) remains unknown.",
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"body": "For the Borel-strategy value \\(p^*\\) in the canonical statement, the checked literature gives\n\\[\n\\frac{7}{20}\\le p^*\\le\\frac{81}{224}=0.361607142857\\ldots.\n\\]\nThe lower endpoint is attained by recursive block strategies. Buhler and coauthors derive the upper endpoint using a balanced \\(8\\times14\\) hint matrix and an exhaustive optimization over column partitions. An independent exact replay prepared for this packet enumerates all \\(B_{14}=190{,}899{,}322\\) column partitions, obtains maximum \\(81/224\\), and recovers the reported count of 3,920 attaining partitions. Bouquet and coauthors, in arXiv:2508.01737v2 dated 2026-04-19, still state \\(p^*=7/20\\) as Conjecture 1. Heilman and Tamuz also identify \\(81/224\\) as the best known upper bound; their analytic bound \\(0.37193\\) is weaker.\n\nThe exact open remainder is to prove \\(p^*\\le7/20\\), or to construct Borel strategies with winning probability greater than \\(7/20\\). The older interval ending at \\(3/8\\) is valid but no longer strongest.",
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}7Provenance
View source, identifiers, and projection details
A statement this project treats as settled at the recorded evidence grade, with the work that backs it.