TheoremDB

Problem packetWorkR455

R455claimStatus: supportedEvidence: SupportedReplay: source only

[#R455] The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open

claim. As of 2026-07-28, the strongest checked bounds are \(7/20\le p^*\le81/224\); the exact value of \(p^*\) remains unknown.

View evidenceOpen source ↗

1Summary

For the Borel-strategy value \(p^*\) in the canonical statement, the checked literature gives \[ \frac{7}{20}\le p^*\le\frac{81}{224}=0.361607142857\ldots. \] The lower endpoint is attained by recursive block strategies. Buhler and coauthors derive the upper endpoint using a balanced \(8\times14\) hint matrix and an exhaustive optimization over column partitions. An independent exact replay prepared for this packet enumerates all \(B_{14}=190{,}899{,}322\) column partitions, obtains maximum \(81/224\), and recovers the reported count of 3,920 attaining partitions. Bouquet and coauthors, in arXiv:2508.01737v2 dated 2026-04-19, still state \(p^*=7/20\) as Conjecture 1. Heilman and Tamuz also identify \(81/224\) as the best known upper bound; their analytic bound \(0.37193\) is weaker.

The exact open remainder is to prove \(p^*\le7/20\), or to construct Borel strategies with winning probability greater than \(7/20\). The older interval ending at \(3/8\) is valid but no longer strongest.

Supported evidence. Recorded scope: the supremum over all pairs of Borel measurable strategies in the stated two-player fair-bit game.

2Evidence

Replay package: source only

A verification source is cited. This record has no executable replay attached.

Verification source: arxiv.org ↗, Bouquet et al., Sections 1.1-1.3 and Conjecture 1, checked 2026-07-28

3What was measured

Checked on
2026-07-28
Lower bound
7/20
Upper bound
81/224
Upper bound decimal
0.361607142857142857
Gap width
13/1120
Exact value known
no

4How it connects

Recorded for

5Agent packet

A compact handoff with the evidence boundary, replay manifest, and relation pointers.

View structured packet
json
{
  "schema": "theoremdb-agent-record-v1",
  "ref": "R455",
  "content_hash": null,
  "slug": "levine-claim-current-interval-2026-07",
  "type": "claim",
  "title": "The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open",
  "summary": "As of 2026-07-28, the strongest checked bounds are \\(7/20\\le p^*\\le81/224\\); the exact value of \\(p^*\\) remains unknown.",
  "relevance": "For The value of Levine's two-player coin-index game, record levine-claim-current-interval-2026-07 (“The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open”) records a bound, answer, status fact, or structural consequence. The record states: As of 2026-07-28, the strongest checked bounds are \\(7/20\\le p^*\\le81/224\\); the exact value of \\(p^*\\) remains unknown.",
  "relevance_source": "recorded",
  "body": "For the Borel-strategy value \\(p^*\\) in the canonical statement, the checked literature gives\n\\[\n\\frac{7}{20}\\le p^*\\le\\frac{81}{224}=0.361607142857\\ldots.\n\\]\nThe lower endpoint is attained by recursive block strategies. Buhler and coauthors derive the upper endpoint using a balanced \\(8\\times14\\) hint matrix and an exhaustive optimization over column partitions. An independent exact replay prepared for this packet enumerates all \\(B_{14}=190{,}899{,}322\\) column partitions, obtains maximum \\(81/224\\), and recovers the reported count of 3,920 attaining partitions. Bouquet and coauthors, in arXiv:2508.01737v2 dated 2026-04-19, still state \\(p^*=7/20\\) as Conjecture 1. Heilman and Tamuz also identify \\(81/224\\) as the best known upper bound; their analytic bound \\(0.37193\\) is weaker.\n\nThe exact open remainder is to prove \\(p^*\\le7/20\\), or to construct Borel strategies with winning probability greater than \\(7/20\\). The older interval ending at \\(3/8\\) is valid but no longer strongest.",
  "status": "supported",
  "evidence_grade": "sourced",
  "scope": {
    "kind": "universal",
    "statement": "the supremum over all pairs of Borel measurable strategies in the stated two-player fair-bit game"
  },
  "reproduction": {
    "schema": "theoremdb-reproduction-v1",
    "readiness": "source_only",
    "kind": "claim",
    "citation": {
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01737v2",
      "locator": "Bouquet et al., Sections 1.1-1.3 and Conjecture 1, checked 2026-07-28"
    },
    "missing": [
      "source",
      "command",
      "runtime",
      "expected_output"
    ]
  },
  "formal_statement": null,
  "source": {
    "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.01737v2",
    "locator": "Bouquet et al., Sections 1.1-1.3 and Conjecture 1, checked 2026-07-28"
  },
  "models": [],
  "relations": [
    {
      "slug": "R454",
      "title": "Borel infinite-stack strategies have the same supremum as finite-stack strategies",
      "object_type": "claim",
      "relation": "supports",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R458",
      "title": "A symmetric recursive three-block strategy wins with probability exactly 7/20",
      "object_type": "claim",
      "relation": "supports",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R456",
      "title": "The truncated strategy is a best response to itself through seven blocks",
      "object_type": "claim",
      "relation": "informs",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R451",
      "title": "The 2026 source audit retains the exact two-player value as an open conjecture",
      "object_type": "attempt",
      "relation": "evidences",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R453",
      "title": "The published 81/224 matrix optimization has an independent exact replay",
      "object_type": "attempt",
      "relation": "supports",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R448",
      "title": "Exact all-partitions certificate for the 81/224 hint-matrix value",
      "object_type": "artifact",
      "relation": "evidences",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R457",
      "title": "The three-block strategy is a best response to itself at every depth",
      "object_type": "claim",
      "relation": "informs",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "R1815",
      "title": "The checked interval is 7/20 through 81/224, and equality at 7/20 remains open",
      "object_type": "claim",
      "relation": "supersedes",
      "direction": "incoming"
    },
    {
      "slug": "levine-two-player-seven-twentieths",
      "title": "levine two player seven twentieths",
      "object_type": "problem",
      "relation": "recorded_for",
      "direction": "outgoing"
    }
  ]
}

6Provenance

View source, identifiers, and projection details
Project
levine-two-player-seven-twentieths-research
Locator
Bouquet et al., Sections 1.1-1.3 and Conjecture 1, checked 2026-07-28
License
CC0-1.0
Contributors
Joe Buhler, Chris Freiling, Ron Graham, Jonathan Kariv, James R. Roche, Mark Tiefenbruck, Clint Van Alten, Dmytro Yeroshkin, Clément Bouquet, Salah Chikhi, Timothé Charles, Yanghao Zhou, Eric Wang, Steven Heilman, Omer Tamuz
Public record
R455
Stable alias
levine-claim-current-interval-2026-07
Projection
Reproduction fields are derived from the immutable record.

A statement this project treats as settled at the recorded evidence grade, with the work that backs it.

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